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03/10/2010 - Oldsmar, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Schoolyard Dreams, second in the Sam F. Davis Stakes, heads a field of seven three-year-olds for Saturday's $300,000 Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs.
In recent years the event has become an important prep for the Triple Crown races. Three years ago Street Sense won the Tampa Bay Derby before capturing the Run for the Roses. Last year's race was won by Musket Man, who went on to win the Illinois Derby and finish third in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes.
Schoolyard Dreams will be joined in the field by Uptowncharlybrown, third in the Sam F. Davis. Both colts will carry 116 pounds.
Trained by Derek Ryan, who also trains Musket Man, Schoolyard Dreams will start from post five with Jeremy Rose picking up the mount. The colt was runner-up to Rule in the Davis Stakes, beaten by three-lengths.
Schoolyard Dreams is owned by Eric Fein and Anthony Mitola, and has earned $81,560 in four starts with two wins.
Uptowncharlybrown will be ridden again by Daniel Centeno from the inside post on Saturday. The chestnut colt is owned by Fantasy Lane Stable with Alan Seewald the trainer.
In January of this year, Uptowncharlybrown won the Pasco Stakes at Tampa Bay and then finished four-lengths behind Rule in the Davis. He began his career with two straight wins and has earned $60,200.
Making his first start of the year is Super Saver, who will carry 122 pounds in the race. Ramon Dominguez will ride the colt from post six.
Todd Pletcher trains the colt for WinStar Farm. Super Saver has won two of four career starts, including the $191,250 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes last November. He has earnings of $171,232.
Here is the complete field for the Tampa Bay Derby in post position order: Uptowncharlybrown, Daniel Centeno; Tuvia's Force, Jose Lezcano; Gleam of Hope, Willie Martinez; Slammy Boy, Victor Lebron; Schoolyard Dreams, Jeremy Rose; Super Saver, Ramon Dominguez and Odysseus, Rajiv Maragh.
Post-time for the Tampa Bay Derby is scheduled for 5:30 p.m. (et).
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In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.
And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.
Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.
So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.
Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)
The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.
As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.
The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.
In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.
Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.
And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.
So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.
There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.
So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.
And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.
There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)
Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.
Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.
Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.
So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.
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