11/20/2008 - Milan, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Unsettled Inter Milan striker Adriano will not be joining Fluminense in January, according to his agent.
The Brazil international remains out-of-favour at the San Siro following reports of a fall-out with coach Jose Mourinho.
However, agent Gilmar Rinaldi claims stories in the Brazilian media which suggested Adriano was set to return to Fluminese on loan in January are wide of the mark.
"It's ridiculous," he said. "There has been no meeting with them. There's no chance he will return to Brazil."
(Courtesy of sportbox.tv)
<< Everton's Moyes wants more respect from the FA
Merseyside, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Everton manager David Moyes has called
for more respect from the Football Association following his fine for improper
conduct.
Moyes was hit with a $7,400 fine relating to the charge which follo
<< UCA's Hart, ASU's LeGree named to Buchanan Watch List
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Central Arkansas defensive end Larry Hart
and Appalachian State free safety Mark LeGree have been named to the final
Buck Buchanan Award watch list.
The pair will join 14 other players on the ballot f
<< Cowboys' Felix Jones done for season
Dallas, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dallas Cowboys rookie running back Felix Jones
has a torn ligament in the big toe on his left foot, an injury which will
require surgery that will sideline him for the remainder of the season.
The Cowboys anno
<< Genoa tells Real Madrid that Milito not for sale
Genoa, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Genoa president Enrico Preziosi claims he has
rejected an approach from Real Madrid for striker Diego Milito.
The Spanish champions are desperate to boost their striking options after
losing Ruud van N
Oilers activate Smid from IR >>
Edmonton, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Edmonton Oilers activated defenseman
Ladislav Smid from injured reserve on Thursday.
Smid was placed on injured reserve because of a concussion earlier in the
month. He was hurt during a Novem
Fire loan Blanco to Santos for Mexican playoffs >>
Bridgeview, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Major League Soccer's Chicago Fire reached a
tentative agreement Thursday to loan midfielder Cuauhtemoc Blanco to Santos of
the Mexican Primera Division.
Blanco will join Santos for the Apertura playoffs
Kenseth signs contract extension with Roush Fenway Racing >>
Concord, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Roush Fenway Racing announced Thursday it has
signed Matt Kenseth to a multi-year contract extension. Kenseth, the 2003 Cup
Series champion, has been with the racing organization since 1998.
"It's been a g
L.A.'s Donovan set to join Bayern Munich on loan >>
Munich, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - United States star Landon Donovan is set to
join Bayern Munich on loan in January, it was revealed Thursday, and the German
club hopes the likely two-and-a-half month deal could become permanent.
Donovan,
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Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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